Mexican beef exports to the U.S. decline

Shipments fall 7% year-on-year; daily loss estimated at over US$11 million

MEXICO – Mexican beef exports to the United States have dropped by 7% in 2025 compared to the same period last year, as the closure of the northern border due to the screwworm outbreak continues to disrupt trade.

According to data from the National Agricultural Council (CNA), total shipments up to the 22nd week of the year stood at 89,100 metric tons, reflecting the annual decline in volume.

During the week of June 2 to 8, beef exports decreased by 3% to 3,900 metric tons, further demonstrating the sustained impact of the border shutdown.

The disruption has also contributed to a steady rise in U.S. cattle prices, as Mexico had been exporting an average of 5,700 head of cattle each day prior to the ban.

Since the closure took effect nearly a month ago, the daily suspension of cattle exports has translated to commercial losses of more than US$11 million (KSh 1.4 billion), according to Alonso Fernández Flores, president of the National Association of Federal Inspection Type Establishments (ANETIF).

Imports dip as market tightens

The CNA also reported that U.S. imports of fresh beef fell by 8% in the same week, totaling 33,200 metric tons, which has added to the strain on the meat supply chain.

Despite the high prices, the CNA observed that the Choice cut dipped slightly last week, deviating from the usual seasonal pattern when prices tend to rise.

The council suggested that this could signal the peak of the seasonal price cycle, with a potential short-term decline likely to pressure meat processors due to expensive livestock and slowing beef prices.

Even so, domestic cattle prices in Mexico have remained relatively stable, with no significant drops recorded, and demand for beef is still holding.

Efforts to contain the screwworm infestation have shown progress, with Mexican authorities reporting a 75% reduction in cases among livestock.

This has led to renewed optimism within the industry, with officials from Mexico and the U.S. recently holding meetings to review the current status and explore options for reopening the border.

Until then, the halt in live cattle exports continues to impact both markets, with the Mexican meat sector waiting for a clear decision from Washington.

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